National Academy of Agricultural Sciences (NAAS)
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PRINT ISSN : 2319-7692
Online ISSN : 2319-7706 Issues : 12 per year Publisher : Excellent Publishers Email : editorijcmas@gmail.com / submit@ijcmas.com Editor-in-chief: Dr.M.Prakash Index Copernicus ICV 2018: 95.39 NAAS RATING 2020: 5.38 |
Medium range weather forecast was provided by IMD using T-80 model at district level for five days in advance. The forecast was provided for seven weather parameters and accurate forecasting of these continues to be a major challenge for scientific community. The forecast was provided biweekly, Tuesday and Friday while the observed data for the same is collected from IMD approved agrometeorological observatory situated at different SAUs. IMD criteria was followed for assignment of correct, usable and unusable percent and different scores along with statistical interpretation are calculated to test the weather forecast for the weather parameters during 2016-17. The rainfall represented an average good forecast over the year. The overall cloud forecast for all the seasons was good with high correct percent for all the seasons. The wind speed and direction depicted poor forecast for all the seasons over the year. Maximum temperature had a high usable percent over the year. The overall forecast for minimum temperature was slightly good. FAR was the correct skill score for False alarms while FAR in combination with POD represented a reliable skill score for rainfall forecast. The chi square values too provided with reliable results for the temperature forecast.
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